JUSTIFICATION: The Chargers are playing
great football of late. So have the Bucs
but, the Bucs seem to have a problem playing
well on the road when they have to travel to
the west coast. They only have about a 25%
win rate when traveling west of the
Mississippi. There is no real logical reason
for this anomaly. Its just one of those
funny little stats that keep coming up.
Look for the Chargers to control the ground
game and the time of possession. The result
will be at least a 10 point victory.
2) Panthers -6 1/2 vs. Rams
JUSTIFICATION: The Rams have to travel and
play in a non-domed stadium. The Rams
traditionally don't play well in these
conditions, especially late in the year.
Their mental psyche and unfavorable playing
conditions are not what they want to endure
playing a Panther team that appears to have
turned things around of late. Look for the
Panthers to dominate this game.
3) Ravens -10 vs. Giants
JUSTIFICATION: The Giants quit on Jim
Fassell late last season and are showing all
the signs of doing it again this year. They
are starting a rookie QB going up against
the most dominant defense in the NFL. The
Ravens still have something to play while
the Giants, who still technically have a
shot at the playoffs, realistically don't.
Look for the Ravens to get out to a fast
start which will destroy whatever hope the
Giants have and they will quit again. That
will be enough to make this an easy cover.
4) Vikings -6 1/2 vs. Seahawks
JUSTIFICATION: The Vikes have stumbled a bit
of late, especially last week with an
embarrassing loss to the Bears, on the road.
But, the Vikes play much better at home and
playing a Seahawk team that appears to have
lost its will to play is just what the
doctor ordered. Look for the Vikes to turn
it around this week.
5) Colts -10 @ Texans
JUSTIFICATION: This is a tough game to pick.
The Texans seem to play much better at home
but the Colts have been playing like a team
possessed of late. They also have the added
motivation of trying to run up the score a
bit and allow QB Manning to at least tie Dan
Marino's TD record. I'm looking for the
Colts to continue their solid play and score
over 40 points in this game. Hopefully, that
will be enough for them to cover the high
number on the road.
Don Pinchin
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