1) Vikings -6 vs. Jaguars

JUSTIFICATION: The Vikings have struggled a bit of late while Randy Moss has been out of the lineup with a hamstring injury. He has been upgraded to Questionable for this game. If he is healthy he will allow the Vikings offense to run to its maximum effectiveness. If not, he will still be a viable decoy that the Jags will have to contend with. Either way, his mere presence will cause enough of a distraction that other Vikings offensive players will be able to exploit. Look for the Vikings offensive juggernaut to be working in high gear in this game.


2) Bucs -2 1/2 @ Panthers

JUSTIFICATION: The Bucs have slowly creeped back into the playoff picture with the emergence of Brian Griese as a top five NFL QB. Since taking over the starting job, the Bucs have put together a nice run and are not just a defensive team anymore. The Panthers are struggling with lots of injuries this year. QB Delhomme is likely to play but, with a broken hand. Against a tough defensive team like Tampa Bay, the chances of him having a stellar day, and that is what the Panthers will need to win, are very much diminished. The Bucs have to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Look for them to do just that.


3) Cardinals +3 vs. Jets

JUSTIFICATION: The Cards play really well at home. Maybe it is the hot temperatures or the dry air but opposing teams tend to not play well on the Cards home turf. Or, maybe it is Coach Dennis Green's simply getting the Cards ready to play. This team has been pretty much snakebit this year.  They have lost at least two games they legitimately could have won. This is a team on the rise and are playing a team that has struggled since QB Pennington went down with yet another injury. The Jets without Pennington, are a very mediocre team. Defenses can play to stop Curtis Martin without much fear of being burned through the air. Taking the home dog in this game makes a lot of since and if you are a money line player, look for a straight up Cards victory in this game.


4) Chargers +3 @ Chiefs

JUSTIFICATION: The Chargers are getting no love this year. They are playing about as well as any team in the NFL right now but are still a three point dog to a very poor Chiefs team. Without Priest Holmes, the Chiefs are a pretty much one dimensional team. Granted, Blaylock played well in his first game filling in but then defensive coordinators figured out what to do and he has struggled since. Drew Brees is having a great year and going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL should make his eyes light up.  The Chargers don't just cover this spread, they win outright.


5) Packers -6 vs. Rams

JUSTIFICATION: The Pack after a very slow start to this NFL season, have become one of the hottest teams going. They are clicking on all cylinders and Brett Favre is having another phenomenal season. The Rams traditionally play poorly on the road, especially on grass fields, as it takes away a lot of their speed game. Weather could play a factor in this game as well. The cold temps are starting to creep across the Midwest and the Rams, again, don't traditionally play well in the cold. The Pack, has a history of playing well in cold games at Lambeau Field. I'll go with the hot team on the frozen tundra in this game.


Don Pinchin
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