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Andy's Line
Movers Week 14
by Andy Antonik
Posted on
12/11/2004 |
| Teams |
Opening
Line |
Current
Line |
| |
|
|
| Cincinnati |
43 |
44 |
| New
England |
10 |
11 |
| |
|
|
| Cleveland |
38 |
38 |
| Buffalo |
10.5 |
11 |
| |
|
|
| New
York Giants |
33.5 |
33.5 |
| Baltimore |
9 |
10 |
| |
|
|
| Detroit |
46 |
44 |
| Green Bay |
9.5 |
9.5 |
| |
|
|
| Seattle |
50 |
51.5 |
| Minnesota |
5.5 |
6.5 |
| |
|
|
| Oakland |
46 |
46 |
| Atlanta |
7 |
7.5 |
| |
|
|
| Chicago |
34 |
34 |
| Jacksonville |
7 |
7 |
| |
|
|
| New
Orleans |
46 |
48 |
| Dallas |
6 |
7.5 |
| |
|
|
| Indianapolis |
10 |
10.5 |
| Houston |
56.5 |
57 |
| |
|
|
| New
York Jets |
36.5 |
36 |
| Pittsburgh |
5 |
6 |
| |
|
|
| Miami |
39 |
38.5 |
| Denver |
10 |
11.5 |
| |
|
|
| St.
Louis |
44 |
44 |
| Carolina |
5.5 |
6.5 |
| |
|
|
| San
Francisco |
38 |
37 |
| Arizona |
3.5 |
7 |
| |
|
|
| Tampa Bay |
43 |
43 |
| San
Diego |
4.5 |
5 |
| |
|
|
| Philadelphia |
9 |
9 |
| Washington |
38.5 |
37.5 |
| |
|
|
| Kansas City |
52 |
52 |
| Tennessee |
2 |
2 |
|
| |
There are a lot of very big lines this week. As
the season enters the stretch run the gamblers
are beginning to load up on the favorites as the
also-rans begin taking the rest of the season
off. If there is an individual player or two
that has some personal milestones to reach they
may play hard for a little while, but with no
real heart. What can you expect from
professional sports these days? I don't believe
that very many play for the love of the game
anymore- its all about the money and
endorsements. If their team isn't making it to
the play-offs, they aren't going to risk getting
hurt. To them its a job, not a sport.
If you look at
the lines, you'll see the largest spreads in the
AFC where there are a few teams at the top, and
a lot of teams already out of the running. In
the NFC, where there are still quite a few
play-off positions up for grabs, the lines are
tighter as we expect harder fought contests.
The biggest
move of the week cam from the SF/Arizona game.
The line doubled from 3.5 to 7 points in favor
of the Cardinals. Arizona this week is at home
and will start J. McCown this week in place of
the injured Navarre (who started his first game
in the NFL last week and was horrendous), and in
front of Shaun King, who had also started 2
games (and also played poorly). Larry Croom
will start at RB, and although he didn't gain a
lot of yards last week, the team believes he is
on the verge of breaking out. Who better to do
that against than SF? The SF team will start K.
Dorsey and he has not impressed this year while
throwing 5 ints with no TD's. Additionally they
will be without Barlowe again at running back
and will start Maurice Hicks, who has a total of
144 yards this season and is usually on the
practice squad. Add all that up and does it
amount to 7 points in the spread. I think its
simply that bettors like McCown at QB in Arizona
and don't think he ever should have been
benched. And SF is the only team already
eliminated from the play-offs.
The line in the
NY Jets/Pittsburgh game is slowly moving up in
1/2 point increments this week. It started at 5
and is now at 6. Its hard to believe that the
Steelers are not at least a one TD favorite.
Pittsburgh stumbled a bit last week, although
they still won. It had to happen sooner or
later, but they got away with it. The bettors
also don't seem to think that the Steelers
losing Burress this week is much of an impact.
The Jets, though, do sport a tough defense and
that may keep the line down a bit. But, and
this is a big but, the Jets have a recent
history of stinking up the big games. And this
one is a big one.
Dallas' showing
last week seems to be fueling the increase in
their line from 6 to 7.5 against New Orleans at
home. The over/under total is also moving
slowly upward. Against Seattle, the Cowboys
displayed some offensive abilities, and the
bookies must be comparing the Saints defense to
the Seahawks. The Cowboys should be able to
score on this defense, and the Dallas "D" isn't
that bad to begin with. Although I hate to give
up more than a TD if I was Cowboy faithful.
In my opinion,
the most unusual line of the week comes in the
over/under for the Oakland/Atlanta game. A
point total of 46 is pretty high, and it all
depends on which Oakland and Atlanta teams will
show up. Will Atlanta play this week like they
did last week, or will the other team show up?
Will Kerry Collins thrown 5 TD's or 5 INTs?
They must be betting the scoring teams will
show up.
Nothing else
much happening with the lines. Good luck this
week. |
| |
| Andy Antonik is a Fantasy Football Contest and
Content Manager for Wildcardsports.com. Born in New
York State, he now lives in central Illinois with
his family, and feels like a fish out of water. His
favorite sports teams are all from New York, and
when not with his family, he can be found on the
golf course redefining the term "duffer." |
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