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Andy's Line
Movers Week 11
by Andy Antonik
Posted on
11/20/2004 |
Team |
Opening Line |
Current Line |
| |
|
|
| St.
Louis |
1 |
1 |
| Buffalo |
40 |
40 |
| |
|
|
| Dallas |
36 |
36.5 |
| Baltimore |
8 |
8 |
| |
|
|
| New
York Jets |
38 |
37.5 |
| Cleveland |
1.5 |
Pk |
| |
|
|
| Pittsburgh |
5.5 |
4 |
| Cincinnati |
41.5 |
40.5 |
| |
|
|
| Indianapolis |
7.5 |
7.5 |
| Chicago |
44.5 |
45 |
| |
|
|
| Detroit |
48 |
48 |
| Minnesota |
8.5 |
7.5 |
| |
|
|
| Arizona |
39.5 |
Off |
| Carolina |
3 |
Off |
| |
|
|
| Tennessee |
36.5 |
36.5 |
| Jacksonville |
3 |
3 |
| |
|
|
| San
Francisco |
42.5 |
41.5 |
| Tampa Bay |
7 |
8.5 |
| |
|
|
| Denver |
5.5 |
4 |
| New
Orleans |
47 |
47 |
| |
|
|
| Miami |
37.5 |
37.5 |
| Seattle |
10 |
10 |
| |
|
|
| San
Diego |
4 |
3.5 |
| Oakland |
49 |
48 |
| |
|
|
| Atlanta |
Pk |
2.5 |
| New
York Giants |
41.5 |
40.5 |
| |
|
|
| Washington |
38.5 |
38.5 |
| Philadelphia |
11 |
10.5 |
| |
|
|
| Green Bay |
3 |
3 |
| Houston |
49 |
49.5 |
| |
|
|
| New
England |
1.5 |
3 |
| Kansas City |
52 |
52.5 |
|
| |
There are some
obvious things that happened with the lines this
week, and some moves that did or did not happen
that I thought might have. I'll go through
them.
The
Arizona/Carolina game is off the board after
opening as Carolina -3. The reason for coming
off the board is due to the condition of both
Delhomme and Kasay, both of whom might not play
this weekend. If their injury status gets
sorted out sometime soon, you may see the game
back on the board. In any event, if it does,
expect to see the line tighten a little. The
injury parade at Carolina keeps on rolling, and
I think there are at least 11 players from their
roster now on IR or out for the season. Tough
to win or cover the spreads with that many
injuries. Arizona could win the game straight
up, and they have played very well the last four
weeks.
The Atlanta/New
York Giants game went from a Pk to Atlanta -2.5
all due to the announcement that Eli Manning
would be starting at QB in place of Warner. The
line move of that magnitude surprises me.
Warner has been ineffective the last few weeks,
and has been a sitting duck in the pocket. His
mobility has been nonexistent. Manning cannot
do any worse, and will have the "advantage" of
youth and can move in the pocket. His
inexperience will play a large role, but the
Giants have the enviable option of running the
ball all day long with Barber and Dayne. Since
I do not believe the change in QBs is a bad
change, I don't understand the line move away
from the Giants.
The
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati game has moved from
Steelers -5.5 to -4. The only significant item
I find this week is the continued questionable
status of Staley. However, in his place Jerome
Bettis has had consecutive 100 yard days, and
the Bengal defense does not look good enough to
slow him down. They did sit Bettis a day or so
this week during practice to rest him after the
60+ carries over the past two weeks, but I don't
see fatigue being a big problem. If the line
continues to move away from the Steelers, I'll
have to play the Steelers bigger and bigger.
You have to ride that horse until it runs out
of steam. I know Big Ben must lose eventually,
but why this week?
The easiest
line move to figure is the New York
Jets/Cleveland game that has moved from
Cleveland -1.5 to Pk. The Browns appear to be
in a shambles, and Jeff Garcia has taken very
public shots at the coaching staff and
management. His biggest gripe appears to be
that the Browns should have known the type of QB
he is when they signed him, and they are not
utilizing him to the best advantage of the team.
The running game there is not effective, and he
believes that at some point you need to accept
that as a team and let him do what he does best-
throw the ball, move in the pocket, and try to
make big plays. The street believes that his
outburst has hurt an already demoralized team
and the Jets are the beneficiary of this
meltdown. However, I am a die-hard Jet fan, and
I know from personal experience this year that
the Jets' coaching staff is fully capable of
taking any advantage given them and turn it into
a liability. I'm not sure I'd fade the Browns
just yet against New York.
A couple of
quirky items- the lines in the Miami and
Washington games have not moved hardly at all
this week, despite both teams making QB changes.
Both teams are big underdogs this week, and the
changes made by the offensive units is having no
impact on the lines. Both teams are just so
bad, and these replacement players are just as
bad as the starters. In neither case is there a
young gun, like in NY, Pittsburgh, or Buffalo,
where the consensus is the new guy will make the
team better. These are ho-hum changes and have
gotten very little news value.
Tampa Bay has
increased from a 7 point favorite to an 8.5
point fave. I can't find anything to warrant
this move. Tampa Bay hasn't been the most
consistent team this year, and although they
have played better as of late, I'm not sure the
line should keep moving up. I'm hard pressed to
give TB this many points over any team.
And the Denver
team seems to be losing its momentum this week
in the lines. Starting as a 5.5 point fav, they
are down to 4, and could keep going. There was
talk of them almost running the table and taking
the west, but I think sounder minds are
prevailing. They have also been inconsistent
this year, and no one seems convinced that
Plummer is the guy to lead a team in the
play-offs.
That's it for
this week. Good luck. |
| |
| Andy Antonik is a Fantasy Football Contest and
Content Manager for Wildcardsports.com. Born in New
York State, he now lives in central Illinois with
his family, and feels like a fish out of water. His
favorite sports teams are all from New York, and
when not with his family, he can be found on the
golf course redefining the term "duffer." |
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